Powered by Claude · Built for Kalshi

AI-powered political prediction-market analysis.

Find mispriced political markets on Kalshi, run a structured probability framework, and place risk-managed trades. Your API key. Your money. Our edge.

Bring your own Kalshi credentials. We never hold funds or place trades without your confirmation.

How it works

From scan to trade in three deliberate steps.

Prediction Genius is built around the Claudshi analysis framework. Every probability comes with structured reasoning.

1. Scan
Sweep hundreds of active political markets. Quick AI probability estimates flag the largest mispricings.
2. Analyze
Run a deep analysis: event decomposition, base rates, factor scoring, calibrated confidence, and edge.
3. Trade
Quarter-Kelly position sizing, hard risk caps, and human-in-the-loop confirmation. No silent trades.

What you get

A serious tool for serious prediction-market trading.

Structured framework
Six factor scores, base-rate anchoring, calibrated confidence, and full markdown reasoning saved with every analysis.
Risk-first trading
Per-bet, per-position, and per-portfolio caps. Quarter-Kelly sizing. Concentration warnings. 1-hour expiry buffer.
Watchlist & monitor
Track candidates without committing capital. Recurring monitor sweeps flag material price or news changes.
Bring-your-own keys
Your Kalshi credentials are AES-256-GCM encrypted server-side and never reach the browser.

Pricing

Free during early access.

Every signed-in account gets the full feature set at no charge until subscriptions launch. No credit card required.

Early access
Free for now
Create an account, plug in your Kalshi key, and start trading. Paid tiers arrive later.
$0while in early access
  • Unlimited market scans and deep analyses
  • Trade execution (with confirmation)
  • Recurring monitor sweep
  • Daily journal generator
  • Portfolio dashboards + balance history
  • Bring-your-own Kalshi API keys (AES-256-GCM encrypted server-side)
Create your account

Stop guessing. Start measuring.

Sign up free, plug in your Kalshi key when you're ready, and let Claude do the probability work.

Create your account